Iran in Latin America: Threat or Axis of Annoyance?

Senior Fellow Douglas Farah's analysis of the debate over the level of threat posed by Iran's expanding diplomatic, trade and military presence in Latin America, and its stated ambition to continue to broaden these ties.read more

Chinese Naval Modernization: Altering the Balance of Power

Richard Fisher details China's naval modernization program and the potential impacts on U.S. interests in the Western Pacific.read more

Publications

Missiles, nuclear arms and Taiwan
Taipei Times

Published on October 2nd, 2016
 Taiwan’s search for a decisive deterrent capability against China, highlighted by recent reports that President Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) administration has canceled the medium-range Yun Feng (雲鋒, Cloud Peak) missile program, has gone through two major phases, but is about to encounter a more dangerous third phase. read more
Recent Trends in China’s Missile and Strategic Strike Forces
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on October 1st, 2016
In late-2016 China’s missile forces are being influenced by three major trends. First is the formation of the new People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) in late 2015 as a result of sweeping restructuring of PLA focused on increasing jointness, accompanied by an increase in the nuclear forces of the PLA Navy (PLAN) and PLA Air Force (PLAAF). A second and ongoing trend has been the incorporation of new types and variants of missile systems plus new nuclear missile submarines (SSBNs) and bombers. Third, China is moving toward the creation of a national missile defense and anti-satellite (ASAT) system that may require cooperation between the SRF, the new Strategic Support Force (PLASSF) and the PLAAF.While there is uncertainty regarding the actual current number of PLA strategic missiles, the introduction of multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV) warheads on intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and future submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) indicates warhead numbers could soon be increasing more rapidly. By the mid-2020s, however, the PLA could have a strategic strike capability comprising a larger number of nuclear missiles, new non-nuclear Prompt Global Strike (PGS) systems, intermediate and medium range nuclear and non-nuclear missiles, nuclear and non-nuclear short range ballistic missiles, a variety of strategic cruise missiles that are also carried by bombers and submarines, plus anti-missile and anti-satellite missiles.read more
Opinion: Bolster Taiwan’s Defenses To Counter China’s Assertiveness
Aviation Week & Space Technology
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on September 2nd, 2016
At a time when China is increasingly assertive militarily, Taiwan’s political and strategic value to the U.S. is reaching new heights. If deterrence is to be sustained on the Taiwan Strait, Washington must dramatically shift its military assistance policy.read more
What to tell Xi
Washington Times
by Richard Fisher, Jr., James Lyons

Published on September 1st, 2016
President Obama should not let slide his last summit meeting with Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army (PLA) leader Xi Jinping, who needs to hear that he is pitching Asia toward war and that the United States will finish what he starts.Of course, China hopes to avoid such complaints during the September 4-5 G-20 Summit in Hangzhou, China. But as China appears ready to increase its aggressive pressures against its neighbors there is little time to set clear red lines and to prepare for conflict so as to better deter it.read more
An American ‘wall of missiles’ to deter China
Washington Times
by Richard Fisher, Jr., James Lyons

Published on April 25th, 2016
It is time to help the United States Pacific Command (PACOM) deter Chinese military aggression with superior strength rather than encourage its adventurism by showing weakness. Recent reports that the Obama White House sought to muzzle criticism of China by PACOM Commander Adm. Harry Harris — which he has denied — at least contributes to a longstanding impression that the White House has preferred to pull its punches as China seeks to impose increasing control of the strategic South China Sea.read more
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