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Iran in Latin America: Threat or Axis of Annoyance?
Senior Fellow Douglas Farah's analysis of the debate over the level of threat posed by Iran's expanding diplomatic, trade and military presence in Latin America, and its stated ambition to continue to broaden these ties.
Chinese Naval Modernization: Altering the Balance of Power
Richard Fisher details China's naval modernization program and the potential impacts on U.S. interests in the Western Pacific.
February 2010 |
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The Air Balance on the Taiwan Strait
The advent of a PLA 5th generation fighter is but one element of a larger Chinese military buildup which is now challenging the viability of Washington’s policy of calibrated arms sales to Taiwan. Since coming to power in 2008 Taiwanese President Ma Ying jeou and other Taiwanese leaders have called on China to remove threatening missile more than ten times, to which China has responded by accelerating its military buildup. A calibrated approach, such as continuing to sell Taipei even more advanced aircraft, like the 5th generation Lockheed-Martin F-35, may not be enough to sustain deterrence. Future PLA space warfare capabilities, a growing nuclear arsenal, anti-ship ballistic missiles, increasing numbers of advanced submarines and a growing amphibious invasion capability pose a far greater threat to Taiwan and to the future ability of U.S. forces to provide a sufficient additional deterrent. It may be overdue that Washington expands its definition of a “defensive” weapon for Taiwan as it increases investments in new U.S. military capabilities that sustain Washington’s larger capacity to deter Chinese aggression.
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U.S. Identifies Russian ‘Nexus’ of Organized Crime
Main Justice After two years of research, the U.S. intelligence community has formally concluded that the governments of Russia and other Eurasian states actively collaborate with organized crime groups. The finding was made public in a little-noticed section of an annual survey of national security threats released on Feb. 2 by Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair. There is an “apparent growing nexus in Russian and Eurasian states among government, organized crime, intelligence services, and big business figures,” said the report, unveiled at a hearing of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. The language fingering Russia is an unusually direct identification by the U.S. of what analysts view as a growing menace to U.S. national security.
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