Iran in Latin America: Threat or Axis of Annoyance?

Senior Fellow Douglas Farah's analysis of the debate over the level of threat posed by Iran's expanding diplomatic, trade and military presence in Latin America, and its stated ambition to continue to broaden these ties.read more

Chinese Naval Modernization: Altering the Balance of Power

Richard Fisher details China's naval modernization program and the potential impacts on U.S. interests in the Western Pacific.read more

Publications

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Missiles, nuclear arms and Taiwan
Taipei Times

Published on October 2nd, 2016
 Taiwan’s search for a decisive deterrent capability against China, highlighted by recent reports that President Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) administration has canceled the medium-range Yun Feng (雲鋒, Cloud Peak) missile program, has gone through two major phases, but is about to encounter a more dangerous third phase. read more
Recent Trends in China’s Missile and Strategic Strike Forces
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on October 1st, 2016
In late-2016 China’s missile forces are being influenced by three major trends. First is the formation of the new People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) in late 2015 as a result of sweeping restructuring of PLA focused on increasing jointness, accompanied by an increase in the nuclear forces of the PLA Navy (PLAN) and PLA Air Force (PLAAF). A second and ongoing trend has been the incorporation of new types and variants of missile systems plus new nuclear missile submarines (SSBNs) and bombers. Third, China is moving toward the creation of a national missile defense and anti-satellite (ASAT) system that may require cooperation between the SRF, the new Strategic Support Force (PLASSF) and the PLAAF.While there is uncertainty regarding the actual current number of PLA strategic missiles, the introduction of multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV) warheads on intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and future submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) indicates warhead numbers could soon be increasing more rapidly. By the mid-2020s, however, the PLA could have a strategic strike capability comprising a larger number of nuclear missiles, new non-nuclear Prompt Global Strike (PGS) systems, intermediate and medium range nuclear and non-nuclear missiles, nuclear and non-nuclear short range ballistic missiles, a variety of strategic cruise missiles that are also carried by bombers and submarines, plus anti-missile and anti-satellite missiles.read more
Opinion: Bolster Taiwan’s Defenses To Counter China’s Assertiveness
Aviation Week & Space Technology
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on September 2nd, 2016
At a time when China is increasingly assertive militarily, Taiwan’s political and strategic value to the U.S. is reaching new heights. If deterrence is to be sustained on the Taiwan Strait, Washington must dramatically shift its military assistance policy.read more
What to tell Xi
Washington Times
by Richard Fisher, Jr., James Lyons

Published on September 1st, 2016
President Obama should not let slide his last summit meeting with Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army (PLA) leader Xi Jinping, who needs to hear that he is pitching Asia toward war and that the United States will finish what he starts.Of course, China hopes to avoid such complaints during the September 4-5 G-20 Summit in Hangzhou, China. But as China appears ready to increase its aggressive pressures against its neighbors there is little time to set clear red lines and to prepare for conflict so as to better deter it.read more
An American ‘wall of missiles’ to deter China
Washington Times
by Richard Fisher, Jr., James Lyons

Published on April 25th, 2016
It is time to help the United States Pacific Command (PACOM) deter Chinese military aggression with superior strength rather than encourage its adventurism by showing weakness. Recent reports that the Obama White House sought to muzzle criticism of China by PACOM Commander Adm. Harry Harris — which he has denied — at least contributes to a longstanding impression that the White House has preferred to pull its punches as China seeks to impose increasing control of the strategic South China Sea.read more
Toward A New Armed Peace
How Washington Can Best Deter China and Support Taiwan’s Maritime Peace Initiatives
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on January 25th, 2016
The Republic of China on Taiwan’s central strategic position on the Western Pacific periphery, its close proximity to the disputed islands of the East China Sea, and its possession of the largest natural island in the disputed Spratly Island Group of the South China Sea, provide just cause for an active Taiwan government role in the pursuit of peaceful dispute resolution in those regions. Taiwan’s direct security interest in playing such an active role is also clear. Chinese military control of the East China Sea and the South China Sea would allow the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to better threaten Taiwan and greatly complicate the ability of the United States, Japan and the Philippines to deter Chinese aggression. In the East China Sea and the South China Sea, China’s goal is to seek increasing military dominance and eventual control. This goal is not merely reactive to recent incidents such as Japan’s September 2012 purchase of the Senkaku/Daiyoutai Islands. China has had a decades-long strategy for seeking control of these regions to further envelop Taiwan militarily, protect its seaborne nuclear forces, ensure geostrategic access for future global/space power projection forces, and to diminish the U.S.-led military alliance and cooperation networks in Asia. read more
China's Continued Quest for Space Dominance
by Richard Fisher, Jr.

Published on December 21st, 2015
Richard Fisher provides a briefing on China's Continued Quest for Space Dominance.read more
Strengthening Taiwan’s defenses
The Washington Times
by Richard Fisher, Jr., James A. Lyons, Jr.

Published on December 21st, 2015
While a welcome symbol of support, the $1.83 billion arms sales package to Taiwan announced by the Obama administration on Dec. 16, 2015 delays consideration of next-generation capabilities Taiwan will require to continue to deter Chinese attack. This fails to reflect the growing importance of Taiwan to U.S. strategy in Asia. For the first time since the 1950s, China is approaching a serious level of preparation for an invasion of Taiwan. It has outfitted its Army and Marine amphibious forces with a third generation of amphibious armor and can now mobilize potentially hundreds of usefully sized civilian barges and ferries that greatly expand military transport. Taiwanese analysts estimate that with combined military and civil lift China can transport 8 to 12 divisions to Taiwan, approaching the size of Taiwan’s 130,000-man army.read more
Book Review: The China-Pakistan Axus: Asia’s New Geopolitics
by June Teufel Dreyer, Ph.D

Published on December 20th, 2015
Author Small argues that China’s “all-weather friendship” with Pakistan, born of a common enmity to India, has survived numerous stresses, yet remains important to both.  For China, ties with Pakistan are useful not just because of Beijing’s ongoing rivalry with India but also as an entree to the Muslim world as well as a key link in its plans to establish a fancifully imagined Silk Road trading route that, if successful, will connect most areas of the world from a hub in Beijing.  For Pakistan, China has been its protector, its chief arms supplier---including help with the construction of weapons of mass destruction---and its economic lifeline.read more
Paris, ISIS, and the Externalization of Evil
American Thinker
by Alex Alexiev

Published on November 25th, 2015
Only a few days have passed since the terrorist bloodbath in Paris, but it is already clear that the conclusions France and the West have drawn from the carnage are not only wrong, but likely to guarantee more of the same. In short, they seem to believe that the terrorist acts of Nov. 13 were organized and carried out by ISIS and, therefore, destroying ISIS will prevent future terror and should become the priority. This is a dangerous delusion even if ISIS is proven to have been instrumental in the organization of the attacks, which is not the case to date. Destroying ISIS, as desirable as that is by itself, will do nothing to reverse the frightening radicalization that has taken place in the burgeoning Muslim communities in Western Europe and increasingly in the United States. A radicalization that promises more mayhem for years to come, yet one that Western authorities refuse to fess up to let alone take decisive measures against.read more
Total Records: 375
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